Dizzy

  • Search
    • Brokers
    • Haves
    • Wants
    • Transactions
    • Marketplace Advertisers
    • Directory
  • Blog
    • tBL Blog
    • How To Blog With Us
    • Blog Contributors
  • Marketplace
  • Advertise
    • Advertise on tBL
    • Marketplace Program
    • Placement Opportunities
  • FAQ
    • tBL FAQs
    • Why theBrokerList?
    • In the News
    • BULK SUBMISSION
    • Buildout Syndication
    • Site Updates
    • Contact Us
    • Feedback

Are We On the Top?

Share
+1
Tweet
Share
Pin
0 Shares

Are we on the top of this cycle? I suppose if we really knew these type things, we wouldn’t tell anyone. We would do whatever it was to take advantage of it! All prognosticators usually try to use historical data and “the way it was last time” to prove up their current theory. Read more after the two graphs about these trends.

I have attached a couple graphs showing the past ten years of office sales over 100,000 SF in the U.S. I thought it was interesting that the average NRA stays in a band of around 100,000 SF and the average price stayed in a band of $30 million.

Charts1 (1)

This set of stats in this graph really shows how good of a job we do with the cap rates. We see the cap rates are forward looking against the occupancy rates. The rates widen as investors see the occupancy getting weaker and compress as they see properties getting full.

Charts2

I have spoken to around 50 national leaders in different areas of our CRE business and I keep hearing the same thing.

When I ask them what broad national trends they are seeing is this, “We aren’t really seeing any trends right now”. What I have noticed over the years if you can’t see trends you are either at the top of the curve or the bottom. We know we aren’t on the bottom!

So if that is the case, how long will we stay on the top of the curve or is the curve really a curve this time? Some will say that we have a new paradigm and the top of the curve isn’t really a curve but possibly a flat spot on the way to a higher plateau.

So they argue that we don’t have a simple curve anymore that goes up, tops out, goes down, bottoms out and starts over again but a very complex curve that starts up, flattens out, maybe dips a bit and starts a new upward trend.

Well, I suppose, depending if you are selling or buying currently, you may adopt one or the other. All I see is that everyone who is looking for a trend isn’t seeing any. Also it looks like under both scenarios we may be seeing the beginning of the down cycle on the simple curve or the beginning of the dip on the complex curve. So, is it time to buy, or a time to sell, or sit tight?

Good luck!

Jun 15, 2016Jack Minter
2 years ago Business Trends, CRE Market Reports87
Jack Minter

As many of you know, I have been working in the commercial real estate business so long that I actually did the sale-leaseback on the lot where Noah built the ark. He told me he really didn’t need to buy the dirt. Guess he was right.

Anyway, the industry has changed quite a bit since then. Over the past three years, I have taken one of my passions and developed it into a website called MYRETA (MY Real Estate Transaction Alliance). As I connected the business with technology, I learned that developing work processes that allow us to become more efficient at the money-making portion of the business is what we need. There are enough sites that accumulate and share data, but very few that can take that data, run the process, and close a deal. Usually it takes several sites to do one deal.

If you can become more efficient, you can do an extra deal or so per year and make additional cash. Or, if you have enough of that nasty stuff, take some more time off!

So please visit us at MYRETA and please ask us about a demo! Follow us on Twitter @MYRETAwebsite too!

With an EXPIRING Lease, you'll make ONE of TWO DecisionsUsing Content Marketing to Nurture Real Estate Leads
  You Might Also Like  
 
NAI Isaac Welcomes A+ Rent to Own to Grand Central Place in Somerset, KY
 
3 Ways to Reduce Overhead Costs at Your Law Office
 
Meet the new Apto

You must be logged in to post a comment. - Log in

 Advertisers 

 Subscribe 
unsubscribe from list

powered by MailChimp!

 #CRE Is... 
No. 6 Commercial Real Estate Is…Virtual, Lifelines, Passion, Fun
No. 5 Commercial Real Estate Is…Hardwork, Old School, & Funny
Commercial Real Estate is Teamwork and Creativity
No. 4 Commercial Real Estate Is Organizations, Kudos, Grassroots and Thanks
 Top 10+ #CRE Blogs 
Top 10+ CRE Blogs in 2017
Top 10+ CRE Blogs in 2017
1 year ago
Top 10 CRE Blogs 2016
Top 10+ CRE Blogs in 2016
2 years ago
Top Ten CRE Blogs of 2015
Top 10+ CRE Blogs of 2015
3 years ago
Top Ten tBL Blogs of 2014
Top 10+ CRE Blogs of 2014
4 years ago
Top 10+ CRE Blogs of 2013
5 years ago
 DNA of #CRE Survey 
#DNAofCRE 2018 Survey is OPEN!
1 month ago

It is with bubbling excitement and fanfare that we are thrilled to announce the 4th anniversary (OMG 4 years have gone by!) of the amazing collaboration between Buildout and theBrokerList to produce the 2018 #DNAofCRE Survey. Remember, we are saying 2018 because we are asking you to download your brain and tell us what you did last year!

2017 DNA of #CRE Survey Results are LIVE!
11 months ago

485 Respondents for DNA of #CRE Survey! Yes, you heard right, almost 500 commercial real estate professionals contributed to the 2017 DNA of #CRE Survey this year! That is an increase of 60% over last year! This year was so special because we had so much enthusiasm as a result of this being our 3rd year. […]

2016 DNA of #CRE Survey Results are LIVE!
2 years ago

Just an Idea The idea of the DNA of #CRE survey began as a collaboration between Buildout and theBrokerList teams. We all wanted to know more about the people who make up the commercial real estate brokerage industry because it has been such a hard to understand facet of real estate. Generally people think of […]

2015 DNA of #CRE Survey Results
2015 DNA of #CRE Survey Results!
2 years ago

Yes, it is true, we completed the first, official tabulation of the 2015 DNA of #CRE Survey! Please review and digest this historic attempt to obtain the actual DNA of the commercial real estate brokerage industry. Huge thanks to the team at Buildout for the amazing collaboration. It was our first one, so we are […]

 Categories 
  • Best Practices (1,047)
  • Brokerage Life & Leadership (252)
  • Business Trends (270)
  • Commercial Real Estate Is (6)
  • CRE Market Reports (300)
  • CRE Marketing (1)
  • CRE Promotions/Job Changes (41)
  • DNA of #CRE (4)
  • Done Deals (391)
  • Events & Conferences (97)
  • How To Use theBrokerList (90)
  • Marketplace Partners (1,856)
  • Member Blogs (14)
  • Press Releases (205)
  • Sponsored Blog Posts (2)
  • theBrokerList Podcast (1)
  • Top 10+ CRE Blogs (5)
  • Uncategorized (131)
 Company 


Contact Us
Technology Partner Program
Terms of Service
Privacy Policy

Copyright 2019 - theBrokerlist
 Connect 
Become a Member
Subscribe to theBrokerlist Daily
Subscribe to Property Announcements
Submit a Property Have
Submit a Property Want
Submit a Property Transaction
Submit a Blog Post or Feed
 Advertise 
Advertise with theBrokerList
Join the Marketplace
Custom Media Opportunities
Property Promotion Advertising [coming soon]

Heap | Mobile and Web Analytics
2019 © theBrokerList Blog